The relationship between dollar futures and the Selic rate is one of the most important for traders. In July 2026, with inflation falling, the market is already pricing in a cut in the benchmark interest rate in August. This tends to devalue the real and, consequently, raise dollar futures in the medium term.
For the trader, this means opportunities: while the Selic remains high, the dollar may fall; when the cut comes, the dollar may surge. The key is to anticipate these moves and position yourself before the market reacts. Fundamental analysis is the right tool for this.
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If you want to learn how to read market signals and set up trades based on the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates, there are specialized courses that teach exactly that. Combine knowledge with a good broker and start trading more safely.
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