The war in Ukraine, ongoing since 2022, continues to impact the futures market in 2026. In July, with new episodes of tension in Eastern Europe, the market reacted with volatility in the dollar future and Ibovespa.
Geopolitical conflicts tend to increase risk aversion, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets like the dollar. This pressures the real and raises the dollar future. Additionally, the war affects commodity prices such as oil and wheat, which also influences Ibovespa.
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For traders, it is important to follow geopolitical news and understand their impacts on markets. Macroeconomics courses can help you interpret these events and position yourself appropriately.
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